golf digest picks: this week

WebLatest golf news from PGA TOUR, PGA TOUR Champions, KornFerry TOUR Tournament match-ups are often released by Tuesday at many top sportsbooks along with expert picks from PGA Tour staff and Golf Digest panel among other leading handicappers and analysts. Take me to the Rocket League category page! picks Prizepicks + Stokastic Promo Get a Free Month! After one of the most memorable California Swings in recent memory, the PGA Tour kicks off its Florida Swing this week at the Honda Classic. Its a stat line that is full of red flags. USE OF AND/OR REGISTRATION ON ANY PORTION OF THIS SITE CONSTITUTES ACCEPTANCE OF OURVISITOR AGREEMENT(UPDATED 1/6/23),PRIVACY AND COOKIES NOTICE(UPDATED 1/4/23) ANDCALIFORNIA PRIVACY NOTICE. Heading into this week's tournament, the 35-year-old ranks first on the PGA Tour in total strokes gained (1.957), 11th in strokes gained tee-to-green (1.307), 21st in strokes gained on approach (0.677), and 26th in strokes gained putting (0.650). PGA Tour odds, lines, picks and Homa and Gooch are great friends off the golf course, and that can help throughout the week. Powers, Golf Digest: Davis Riley (+650, DraftKings) Riley has fallen out of favor with the gambling community of late thanks to some so-so results, but his irons have still been cooking. The PGA Tour heads to Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando, Florida this week for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. It will play long at more than 7,400 yards, and thick rough off the fairways and around the greens will provide a true test. Aaron Wise ($9,200 DraftKings | $11,600 FanDuel). Rick Gehman, founder of RickRunGood.com and the RickRunGood YouTube Channel, is one of the industrys leading experts on golf DFS and gambling. Genesis Invitational picks 2023: Why our experts trust Even at 38 years of age, hes consistently among the longest hitters off the tee, and because of that, hes among the most accurate on approach. The model also included J.T. Thatll be very useful around Torrey Pines this week. Course History Cheatsheet: A look at the entire fields history at the current weeks course. His iron play has been downright putrid, and Im not sure he can sustain gaining six strokes on the greens like he has the last two starts. Scottie Scheffler (last three starts: T-55, 1, 1), 2. Pat Mayo is an award-winning video host and producer of long- and short-form content, owner of the Mayo Media Network and host of The Pat Mayo Experience. Alldrick, FanShare Sports: Scottie Scheffler (9-1, DraftKings) This price is too low for someone who has played just one event in the last nine weeks. Sure, many factors contribute to success and not all performers are defined by them, but the 2023 body of evidence already includes the likes of Eric Cole (P2), Ben Martin (T5) and Carson Young (T29), each of whom with attention-getting performances at PGA National last week. Bermuda: Mark Hubbard. Eric Cole ($6,900 DraftKings | $8,000 FanDuel). 1 Jon Rahm is looking for his fourth win of 2023. 2023 Sony Open First Round Leader Picks: Can J.T. Odds were sourced on Tuesday, Feb. 28, 2023. Jon Rahm is the 7-1 favorite in the latest Arnold Palmer Invitational odds from Caesars Sportsbook. The pairs will need to make a lot of them to have a chance to win. The putting woes continued for Spieth, who lost three strokes to the field in just two rounds at Riviera before missing the cut. 1. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational DFS: Top FanDuel, DraftKings daily I was excited to see Englishs T-12 last week at Riviera until I saw the 8.8 strokes he gained puttingthe best putting performance of his career, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. Rounds 2 and 4: Alternate shot. Sports Betting Legality Map Hes played this event once, finishing T-17 last year while losing 5.24 strokes in the short game. 2023 Honda Classic Golf DFS Fades & Pivots: Alex Noren Fooling Everyone By Missing Cuts? CLICK HERE to learn more at HaveAGamePlan.org. Hopefully he can ride his sterling swing-season form, pick up another win and make things right with El Tucan. (Photo by Derick E. Hingle/USA TODAY Sports). Shriners: Emiliano Grillo. That bet hit at +5500, and for the entire tournament, McClure's best bets returned almost $1,100. Over the past 100 rounds, hes the fourth-best tee-to-green player in the field, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. The Players Championship will be contested next week without its biggest draw. Jordan Spieth ($8,600 DraftKings | $10,100 FanDuel). Thats a sour combination most weeks, but its especially true here at PGA National, which will require putting and precision. Toss in four par 5s and scoring conditions during which par will feel like a red number, and it wont matter much that his putting unlikely will impress. He got his first career victory less than a month later and finished the season with four. DraftKings Round 4 Showdown Golf Cheat Sheet: Best PGA DFS Picks for the Genesis Invitational | Patrick Cantlay, DraftKings Round 2 Showdown Golf Cheat Sheet: Best PGA DFS Picks for the Genesis Invitational | Will Zalatoris. Theres plenty more where that came from. This same model has also nailed a whopping eight majors entering the weekend. Each lineup consists of four starters and two Gdula: Russell Henley (+410, FanDuel) Henleys profile is a lot like Morikawas: hyper-accurate, elite irons, bad putting. Corey Conners ($7,800 DraftKings | $9,500 FanDuel). 13 in the Power Rankings for The Honda Classic, he was comfortably inside the top 10 entering the final round before falling into a five-way tie for 21st with a Sunday 73. Other top contenders in the Arnold Palmer field include Rory McIlroy (19-2), Scottie Scheffler (11-1), Max Homa (19-1), Collin Morikawa (21-1), Justin Thomas (23-1), Xander Schauffele (24-1) and Will Zalatoris (24-1). He nailed the Houston Open, backing Tony Finau to win at 25-1, and is up almost seven units on his plays overall, a profit of nearly $700 for $100 bettors. Gehman: Brian Harman (35-1, DraftKings) Harman is one of the most fascinating players in this field. Our experts, as always, are in search of a little more value down the odds board, however. THE MATERIAL ON THIS SITE MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED, DISTRIBUTED, TRANSMITTED, CACHED OR OTHERWISE USED, EXCEPT WITH THE PRIOR WRITTEN PERMISSION OF DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. 2023 DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED, World Wide Technology Championship picks 2022: Morikawa or Finau? RELATED: Here are the odds for every player in the field this week at the 2023 Honda Classic, Robby Shelton ($7,800 DraftKings | $9,700 FanDuel). Gehman: Jason Day (-120) over K.H. Course Fit(compares golf courses based on the degree to which different golfer attributes such as driving distance to predict who performs well at each course DataGolf): 1. Rare company, to say the least. Golf Odds, Picks And Props: 2023 Arnold Palmer His form is great, ranking second in the field for SG/total over the last two years and 11th for SG/total over the last two months. Accuracy and irons can most definitely prevail at Mayakoba as long as you make a few putts, and Grillo has actually gained with the putter in eight of his past nine starts; good for five top 10s over that stretch. Xander Schauffele Betting Odds Remain for Tournament of Champions Despite WD Reports. Stephen Hennessey, Golf Digest dep. And be sure to subscribe to "The Loop" wherever you get your podcasts! You can see the rest of McClure's Arnold Palmer Invitational prop bet picks at SportsLine. Berrymans Arnold Palmer Invitational Core Plays: Few Handle Wind as Well as Scottie Scheffler. Matt Fitzpatrick might be coming back down to earth after his US Open win so take Jon Rahm to beat the Englishman in a 72-hole match bet at -130 DraftKings Im not really understanding why Henleys priced up here just below the elites. Check out the odds below, then visit SportsLine to see Patrick McDonald's top prop picks for The American Express 2023, all from the expert who is up almost $700 on his PGA Tour picks this season, and find out. McDonald takes a measured approach to his outright selections and is having a profitable 2022-23 season. The American Express 2023 will run over three courses, but all are similar -- short and featuring few hazards. There are more questions than answers coming from the Thomas camp right now. Hes played at Bay Hill each of the last three years and hasnt finished worse than T-20. Hes been wildly inconsistent in each facet of his game, and this price is too much to stomach compared to his peers. Hes one of the most experienced golfers in the field at PGA National, where hes played 10 times, making the cut in all but one. We run 1000s simulations for every PGA Tour event to predict the most likely outcomes and find value against the sportsbooks. Hes now played 12 times this season, making the cut in 10 starts while earning six finishes of T-32 or better. Palmer/Scheffler (5.4 percent). Betting Preview for the Euro Tour: A quick hitter article for some Euro Tour action provided by both Ben Rasa and Jason Rouslin. Scottish Open Picks Jordan Spieth often excels the week before a Major and loves the links. Shriners: Taylor Montgomery. This website is for entertainment purposes only and does not offer real money bets. Hes been competitive in the toughest fields of the year and will now get to battle a much weaker composition of his peers. . 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational Golf DFS Fades & Pivots: Cameron Young Primed for Breakthrough, Fantasy Golf Sleepers & GPP Picks for 2022 Charles Schwab Challenge DraftKings & FanDuel Lineups This Week, RSM Classic Data & Stats | PGA DFS Picks for DraftKings & FanDuel Lineups, DraftKings Golf Cheat Sheet: Best PGA DFS Picks for the Arnold Palmer Invitational | Jason Day, FanDuel Golf Cheat Sheet: Best PGA DFS Picks for the Arnold Palmer Invitational | Scottie Scheffler, PGA DFS Top 5 Sleepers: The Northern Trust DraftKings + FanDuel Picks This Week with Phil Mickelson | Today, 8/17, Top 5 PGA Fades: The Northern Trust PGA DFS Picks for DraftKings + FanDuel This Week | Bryson DeChambeau, Top 5 PGA DFS Value Plays: The Northern Trust PGA DFS Picks for DraftKings + FanDuel with Shane Lowry | Today, 8/17, Top 5 PGA Fades: Wyndham Championship PGA DFS Picks for DraftKings + FanDuel This Week | Hideki Matsuyama, PGA Championship DFS Picks Final Round DraftKings Fantasy Golf Picks & Predictions, Above the Cut: PGA DFS Advice & Daily Fantasy Golf Picks for the Wyndham Championship on DraftKings & FanDuel, The Stokastic PGA DFS Content Schedule | When and Where to Find All Our Free & Premium Content, PGA DFS: DraftKings & FanDuel Strategy Guide. Bramlett will enter with back-to-back T-15 finishes, where hes gained over 10 strokes in the ball-striking categories. The Chicagoland native has been playing fantasy golf since 1994, so he was just waiting for the Internet to catch up with him. Collin Morikawa ($9,500 DraftKings | $11,400 FanDuel). He gained 8.42 strokes putting at the Honda Classic. Jhonattan Vegas ($8,600 DraftKings | $10,100 FanDuel). Hes been quiet of late but he still connected for a T11 at PGA West, and we can count on him to find fairways at Bay Hill. Hes played this event once, finishing T-49 in 2015. Pebble Beach Golf Links 2. picks Listen to the Twilight 9 podcast! RELATED: Worldwide Technology Championship DFS picks 2022: Scottie Schefflers glaring weakness. If he can just stop losing a billion strokes off the tee each week, hell become a popular play again. Breaking down the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks for this week at Bay Hill with our best bets, One and Done selection and more PGA Tour expert picks. Hes combining solid approach play with a hot putter to throw his name into the mix more consistently. Gdula: Matt Kuchar (60-1, FanDuel) Kuchar has flashed upside in reasonable spots over the past year, and he now heads to a course that can reward him for being accurate off the tee and not penalize him too much for being a shorter hitter. The American Express picks 2023: Why this is the week THE MATERIAL ON THIS SITE MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED, DISTRIBUTED, TRANSMITTED, CACHED OR OTHERWISE USED, EXCEPT WITH THE PRIOR WRITTEN PERMISSION OF DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. 2023 DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED, Honda Classic DFS picks 2023: Play this breakout star at PGA National, Max Homa, fighting back tears, says he will win again at Riviera, LIV Golf announces teams, players for 2023; Four PGA Tour players, Pieters officially join league, These are the questions you should be asking yourself before buying new clubs, Brian Urlacher on his proud moment in the WMPO pro-am, an unlikely eagle at Augusta National and making his first ace on a par 4 (! McNealys longer than he is accurate, and the irons arent particularly great. Thats the ninth-best putting performance of anyone in this field for the entire 2023 season. Previous weeks: Fortinet Championship: Emiliano Grillo. 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions First Round Leader Picks: Aaron Wise Off to a Hot Start? 1 Scottie Scheffler is back in action and back in his rightful spot as the solo favorite. 2 Scottie Scheffler, Patrick Cantlay and Jon Rahm among the top names. Sanderson Farms Championship: Sam Burns. Zozo: Hideki Matsuyama. Its his fifth payday in as many starts in 2023 but first start in three weeks. After debuting with a T17 in 2017, he piggybacked it with a T7 in 2018 and a T10 in 2019. One of McClure's favorite prop bet picks this week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 is veteran Jason Day to finish in the top-20 of the final leaderboard at You can only see his Arnold Palmer Invitational best bets at SportsLine. Alex Noren ($9,500 DraftKings | $11,200 FanDuel). Im is clearly the class of this field, and hes a past champion for good reason. Luke List Anytime (every time?) Gdula: Maverick McNealy (26-1, FanDuel) I cant suggest fading anyone at 18-1 or shorter. He is playing well against elite fields and has proven that he can contend and win in any tournament he enters. Responsible sports betting starts with a game plan. Brent Grant ($6,400 DraftKings | $7,600 FanDuel). Per stats guru Justin Ray, only two other players have pulled off the rare accomplishment in the past 40 years on tour. Bay Hill will challenge golfers from tee to green and demand precision on and around the greens. Now that hes warm, Bay Hill actually presents a better fit for his long ball off the tee, but in this beefier field, hes slipped behind the crowd, and thats good for us. Hes also likely to lose a lot of strokes puttinglike he did at Riviera (losing seven strokes/putting), making it 17 straight events losing with that club. Hovland/Moriakawa (8.6 percent), 3. RELATED: What to make of LIV Golfs tumultuous inaugural season. But hes certainly gaining on it, with three top-25 finishes in his last seven starts on tour. Todd also comes into the event ranked 12th for Opportunities Gained over the last two months and 20th for SG/total over the last two months. Anyone who follows McDonald's advice has been cashing in. Course Fit ( compares golf courses based on the degree to which different golfer attributes such as driving distance to predict who performs well at each course DataGolf): 1. GOLF DIGEST MAY EARN A PORTION OF SALES FROM PRODUCTS THAT ARE PURCHASED THROUGH OUR SITE AS PART OF OUR AFFILIATE PARTNERSHIPS WITH RETAILERS. Zozo: Hideki Matsuyama. Powers, Golf Digest: Thomas Detry (-110) over Seamus Power (DraftKings) Not sure going against last weeks winner in a matchup has ever worked out in my favor, but I feel good about this one. Keep it social. Davis Riley Its like a rite of passage across the United States. For our complete review, visit Bay Hill's Places to Play page here. Previous weeks: Fortinet Championship: Sahith Theegala. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. While encouraging, that has been his best finish since his win at the BMW PGA Championship10 starts ago. RELATED: Want to become a better golf bettor? Thats his second top-25 finish in his first four starts during this campaign. The exciting thing for Bezuidenhout is his course history. This run of good form has resulted in two top-10 PGA Tour finishes in his last four events. The only thing thats held him back is the flat stick, which weve seen him flip on a dime and win tournaments before. His last eight starts have all been T-13 or better with five top-five finishes. After a dreadful few years, Tway is playing some of his best golf in recent memorymaking six of his last eight cuts. That will undoubtedly change soon, but Im not ready to bet on it at single-digit odds. Caddie: Brendon Todd (+100) over Seamus Power (Bet365) Todd, a former winner here, has been playing some spectacular golf this Fall. The Approach: A picks and preview article from Nolan Kelly that uses some of @Awesemos projection for the week! And be sure to subscribe to "The Loop" wherever you get your podcasts! And be sure to subscribe to "The Loop" wherever you get your podcasts! Kim); Powers: 1 for 1 (Detry (+110) over McCarthy); Alldrick: 1 for 1 (Detry (-125) over Meronk; Mayo: 0 for 1; Gdula: 0 for 1; Gehman: 0 for 1; Hennessey: 0 for 1, Matchup Results from this season (Wins-Losses-Pushes): Hennessey: 5-1-0 (up 3.8 units); Gehman: 4-2-0 (up 1.65 units); Caddie: 3-3-0 (down 0.1 units); Alldrick: 4-2-0 (up 1.38 units); Powers: 2-4-0 (down 1.85 units); Mayo: 1-4-0 (down 3.1 units); Gdula: 0-5-1 (down 5 units). Rounds 1 and 3: Best ball His best finish over nine starts is a T-26 and hes the only golfer in the field who has played at least 30 rounds here and is losing strokes to the field. Jon Rahm (8/1) Keyur Khamar. picks Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "The Loop" (above), where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make your bets and pick your fantasy lineups. Morikawa is fresh off a T-6 at Riviera where he gained 8.25 strokes from tee-to-green, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. The expert finished the 2021-22 season up 42 units on his outright plays, including hitting Hudson Swafford (250-1) at last year's The American Express. Both of those weeks ended in a top 10 for Todd. Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "The Loop," (below) where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make your bets and pick your fantasy lineups. Min Woo Lee hasnt played an official PGA Tour event since the Open Championship (T-21) but has been crushing the DP World Tour as of late. Confidence is high for Ryder, who is playing the best golf of his life right now. Written by Jason Rouslin and released on Sunday evenings. Alldrick, FanShare Sports: Viktor Hovland (+100) over Scottie Scheffler (Bet365) As you can see above I dont fancy Schefflers chances this week. Hes teed it up eight times and has earned just one top 25 in a full-field eventa T-12 at the Sony Open. The 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando is next up on the PGA Tour schedule, the third designated event in four weeks. Mayo is on the board of governors at www.fantasynational.com. Anyone who backs one of his 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational sleepers could hit it big. Ben Griffin ($6,700 DraftKings | $8,200 FanDuel). Well do the same taking a couple from each article and summing it up for you! Hennessey, Golf Digest: Thomas Detry (40-1, DraftKings) Im surprised were still getting 40-1 on Detry after his run of really good golf. Overall, 23 of the games best 25 players will tee it up come Thursday. With winds projected to gust, a couple of confident sharpshooters will surprise despite the length of the track. So what 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational prop picks should you target this week? Kuchar has also gained strokes in all three tee-to-green stats in both starts this season but has uncharacteristically lost strokes putting. ), one of the most memorable California Swings in recent memory. I like the consistency of Rai here in a matchup as a slight favorite. Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 props, odds, field: Expert Hennessey, Golf Digest: Russell Henley (33-1, BetRivers) His four most recent results include two MCs and a 35th- and 45th-place finish. Please check your email for a confirmation. He gained 5.43 strokes on approach at the Fortinet Championship and again 7.03 at the CJ Cup. Kevin Tway ($6,900 DraftKings | $8,100 FanDuel). Since 2016, hes 6-for-6 in the API with a T10 in 2019. But the hole I like best at Bay Hill is the par-4 eighth, a lovely dogleg-right with a diagonal green perched above a small circular pond. Hes gained strokes with the flatstick in six of his last seven measured events. Golf His game looks close, finishing T-5 at the Zozo Championship and T-21 at the CJ Cup in his only two PGA Tour starts this season. Copyright 2023 PGA TOUR, Inc. All rights reserved. Kim +17000Justin Suh +17000Kevin Yu +17000Byeong Hun An +17000Ben Taylor +17000Troy Merritt +19000Stewart Cink +19000Callum Tarren +19000Matthew NeSmith +19000Erik Van Rooyen +21000Satoshi Kodaira +21000Adam Long +21000Charley Hoffman +21000David Lingmerth +21000. Highlighted by The Bear Trap, one of the most difficult three-hole stretches on tour, the winning score of this event is routinely in single digits under-par. 2 Scottie Scheffler is back to defend his title while No. Bermuda: Denny McCarthy. Scheffler will be rusty coming in and only finished 45th in the one event he has played in the last nine weeks. Though playing from the fairway is important, the course regression model at RickRunGood.com indicates that clubhead speed is more indicative of successonly six other courses were more correlated to success last year. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the weekend, but the model still projected him as the winner. THE MATERIAL ON THIS SITE MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED, DISTRIBUTED, TRANSMITTED, CACHED OR OTHERWISE USED, EXCEPT WITH THE PRIOR WRITTEN PERMISSION OF DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. 2023 DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED, Arnold Palmer Invitational DFS picks 2023: Rory McIlroy's staggering advanced metrics, Arnold Palmer's Bay Hill Club & Lodge: Challenger/Champion. Released Monday night/Tuesday Morning. Hes riskier than some of his similarly priced peers, but the upside is undeniable. Cole was impressive and a great story last week, but theres a big red flag in his stat profile. USE OF AND/OR REGISTRATION ON ANY PORTION OF THIS SITE CONSTITUTES ACCEPTANCE OF OURVISITOR AGREEMENT(UPDATED 1/6/23),PRIVACY AND COOKIES NOTICE(UPDATED 1/4/23) ANDCALIFORNIA PRIVACY NOTICE. Hell look to find some putting improvements this week on the greens at PGA National. Golf Predictions. His usually reliable driver has let him down, and he hasnt been as precise on his second shots. Play with trusted, licensed operators. His outright plays feature three major longshots who come in at more than 60-1. Its his fifth payday in as many starts in 2023 but first start in three weeks. 7 and sank one of the most beautiful aces youll ever see. Here are the stats you should be paying attention to. As well as contributing to Golf Digest, Andy is also a data analyst and writer for , where he covers PGA Tour betting and daily fantasy. He came to Golf Digests betting panel after previously writing for , the Score and GolfWRX. PGA DFS Optimizer Picks Arnold Palmer Invitational: Jordan Spieth at a Ball Striking Venue is a Lock, 2023 Honda Classic First Round Leader Picks: Garrick Higgo Can Surprise Everyone, 2023 Genesis Invitational First Round Leader Picks: Jordan Spieth Looks Ready to Start Fast, 2023 WM Phoenix Open First Round Leader Picks: Russell Henley Could Sneak Up On Everyone. Tom Kim ($8,400 DraftKings | $9,800 FanDuel). Henley has an 18 percent top-10 rate over the past year, and only the putting is really holding him back from success this week. Christiaan Bezuidenhout (+375 = Top 20) His value will be flattened on course history alone -- since his debut in 2020, hes gone T18-7th-T20 but thats OK because its the kind of consistently strong form we want in every investment, not to mention that hes navigated Bay Hill in a variety of conditions to extend that confidence into this weeks fray.

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